Tuesday, June 29, 2010

CO2 To Be Blamed For Global COOLING

It is becoming increasingly clear that we are likely headed into a prolonged period of global cooling, due to the cooling of the eastern Pacific Ocean and the lowest level of solar activity in decades.

The Pacific Decadal Oscilliation (PDO), which alternates from warmer to cooler water temperatures every 25-30 years, closely correlates with the rise and fall of global temperatures. The PDO began warming in 1977, explaining the warming we've experienced for two decades or so, but is now entering a cooling phase.

Scientists also point out that solar radiation is lower than it has been for decades, once again signaling that we may be headed into a period of declining global temperatures.

Pity our poor friends in the evangelical movement who tried to get out in front of the global warming craze and curry favor with the wrong people. What possesses them to seek the favor of the world escapes me, but they tried and to a limited extent succeeded. Now, however, they are faced with the dim prospect of being proved spectacularly wrong. I expect we will hear no apologies from them for trying to stampede the sheep off this particular cliff. We likely will hear nothing from them at all as they will whistle and look about as if their infatuation with the worship of Gaea never even happened. The silence will be an improvement.

I predict that we will soon begin hearing rabid environmentalists start claiming that rising levels of CO2 are responsible for global cooling. Remember, these are the same folks that were in hysterics in the mid-70s over a coming ice age, which they blamed on aerosol content in the air. Well, once the PDO shifted to a warmer phase in 1977, and the earth began to warm, it was not long before they began bleating about human-sourced emissions causing catastrophic overheating instead.

The truth is that if they really believe their own swill - that CO2 emissions warm the earth - they ought soon to be urging us to emit more and more CO2 to ward off the catastrophic effects of global cooling. That would be consistent and logical, which is why we won't hear anything about it from them at all. Logic, reason and science simply are not their forte. Their agenda is not to save the planet, but to destroy capitalism, and so scientific evidence and truth don't matter to their message. Their message will simply get re-packaged, using the same boogey-man but blaming him for a polar opposite outcome.

Now that the PDO is shifting to a cooler phase, and the sun has entered a quiet phase, you can expect the Chicken Littles, once they embrace the reality of cooling, to pin the tail on the CO2 donkey. Trust me, they will find a way to hang this on CO2 emissions. They will convince us that they simply misunderstood the data, that science is a fluid and evolving discipline, that as CO2 concentrations have increased willy-nilly over lo these many years we now at last can see its cumulative effect, etc. We will soon hear calls to cap CO2 emissions to save the earth not from getting too hot but from getting too cold.

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